Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.107200 0.116168 0.125748 0.136781 0.149180 0.162733 0.178739
2024-10-13 0.090140 0.102011 0.115480 0.132025 0.151986 0.175526 0.205746
2024-10-20 0.079138 0.092238 0.107732 0.127658 0.152978 0.184605 0.227967
2024-10-27 0.071410 0.085117 0.101854 0.124169 0.153735 0.192459 0.248611
2024-11-03 0.068965 0.084033 0.103023 0.129279 0.165598 0.215616 0.292711
2024-11-10 0.067435 0.083831 0.105103 0.135533 0.179393 0.242835 0.346838
2024-11-17 0.064065 0.080873 0.103172 0.135935 0.184734 0.258205 0.385048
2024-11-24 0.060348 0.077141 0.099835 0.133925 0.186128 0.267479 0.414485
2024-12-01 0.056809 0.073400 0.096177 0.131060 0.185797 0.273769 0.439509
2024-12-08 0.053251 0.069411 0.091890 0.126872 0.182905 0.275361 0.455997
2024-12-15 0.051068 0.067228 0.090042 0.126201 0.185510 0.286427 0.492321
2024-12-22 0.049045 0.065155 0.088207 0.125373 0.187704 0.296918 0.529337
2024-12-29 0.047610 0.063985 0.087827 0.127121 0.194968 0.318577 0.597197
2025-01-05 0.044768 0.060618 0.083960 0.122989 0.191698 0.320224 0.621698
2025-01-12 0.042212 0.057551 0.080374 0.119049 0.188373 0.321312 0.645295
2025-01-19 0.040048 0.054965 0.077386 0.115881 0.186125 0.324225 0.674194
2025-01-26 0.039801 0.055268 0.078935 0.120528 0.198909 0.360202 0.800184
2025-02-02 0.039760 0.055874 0.080988 0.126206 0.214365 0.404954 0.969656
2025-02-09 0.038646 0.054737 0.080122 0.126571 0.219240 0.426521 1.078085
2025-02-16 0.037191 0.052991 0.078145 0.124747 0.219388 0.436809 1.153535
2025-02-23 0.035688 0.051103 0.075838 0.122146 0.217630 0.442114 1.213909
2025-03-02 0.034059 0.048952 0.072987 0.118340 0.212929 0.439248 1.243088
2025-03-09 0.033091 0.047838 0.071853 0.117730 0.215163 0.454932 1.353092